The Future of Artificial Intelligence
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On the Abilities of Mathematical Extrapolation with Implicit Models

Juliette Decugis's insight:

Recently presented this paper at NeurIPS 2022 workshop on distribution shifts. We demonstrate the higher robustness of implicit models on out of distribution data as compared to classical deep learning architectures (MLP, LSTM, Transformers and Google's Neural Arithmetic Logic Units). We speculate that implicit models, unrestricted in their layer number, can adapt and grow for more complex data.

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Real Artificial Intelligence: Understanding Extrapolation vs Generalization | by Andre Ye | Towards Data Science

Real Artificial Intelligence: Understanding Extrapolation vs Generalization | by Andre Ye | Towards Data Science | The Future of Artificial Intelligence | Scoop.it

"Models generally cannot extrapolate well, be it in a measure of symbolic intelligence or in real applications."

Juliette Decugis's insight:

As Ye highlights machine learning models are trained to excel at interpolation tasks (predicting within the training distribution) but often fail on extrapolation tasks (predicting outside the training distribution).

 

During my research with UC Berkeley BAIR, I experimented with sequence extrapolation tasks to compare different models' abilities to understand logical patterns. I witnessed first hand how a simple deviation of the mean in the testing set distribution often led to rapid accuracy drops. Although deep learning models can beat humans at Go and even invent new playing rules, they remain limited in their capacity to use learned skills on a completely new but similar task.

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